BTC Flow Analysis — March 31, 2024 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,181,926 trades
Summary
March 31, 2024: Bitcoin rallied +2.4%. The 889 BTC of net buying flow at $71,280 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 14 bars of outsized trades (7.8σ peak) from 04:57–23:39 UTC, adding 408 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.93). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.03%, Europe +0.40%, US +0.98%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.03% | 399 BTC | 45% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.40% | 42 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.98% | 448 BTC | 50% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 1 day(s) away.
Related Days
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