BTC Flow Analysis — March 03, 2024 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,992,011 trades
Summary
March 03, 2024: Bitcoin ground out a +1.82% gain. The 815 BTC of net buying flow at $63,114 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 21 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.2σ), spread across 00:16–22:21 UTC. The 16 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 74% of the day's net flow (696 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.96 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 160 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 976 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.63%, Europe +1.29%, US +1.15%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.63% | -63 BTC | 7% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.29% | 182 BTC | 19% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.15% | 696 BTC | 74% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bull-regime day. The +1.82% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.34%.
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