BTC Flow Analysis — December 29, 2023 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,571,137 trades
Summary
December 29, 2023: Bitcoin drifted lower (-1.17%). The 207 BTC of net selling flow at $42,067 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.6σ) between 00:25–23:49 UTC. Whale flow netted 85 BTC of buying.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.88). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 198 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 405 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.68%, Europe +1.31%, US -1.77%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.68% | -214 BTC | 22% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.31% | 392 BTC | 40% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.77% | -384 BTC | 39% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 1 day(s) away.
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