BTC Flow Analysis — October 26, 2023 BULL
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,382,785 trades
Summary
October 26, 2023: Bitcoin slipped 1.00%. The 2,688 BTC of net selling flow at $34,152 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 23 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 11.1σ), spread across 00:20–22:39 UTC. The 11 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.91 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.44%, Europe -1.36%, US -0.07%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.44% | -608 BTC | 23% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.36% | -958 BTC | 36% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.07% | -1122 BTC | 42% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
With -2,688 BTC of net flow (-1.6σ), selling pressure ran above the bull-regime baseline of -386 BTC.
The selling streak extended to 3 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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