BTC Flow Analysis — October 02, 2023 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,464,158 trades
Summary
Bitcoin slipped 1.78% on Monday, October 02, 2023, closing at $27,495 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 224 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 19 bars of outsized trades (14.2σ peak) from 00:13–23:56 UTC, adding 135 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+537 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-761 BTC) in the back half.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.86 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +1.14%, Europe +0.82%, US -3.68%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.14% | 396 BTC | 21% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.82% | 433 BTC | 23% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.68% | -1053 BTC | 56% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -1.78% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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