BTC Flow Analysis — July 04, 2023 BULL
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 779,472 trades
Summary
On Tuesday, July 04, 2023, Bitcoin drifted lower (-1.25%) to $30,767. Net flow: -4,991 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Someone was moving size. 9 bars between 00:46–21:31 UTC registered trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.8σ), pushing 113 BTC net selling.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.91). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Across sessions: Asia -0.79%, Europe +0.29%, US -0.75% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.79% | -1816 BTC | 36% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.29% | -618 BTC | 12% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.75% | -2557 BTC | 51% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Flow conviction was unusually strong: 4,991 BTC net selling, registering at -2.9σ relative to other bull-regime days. This wasn't noise — it was a directional statement.
Among the final days of this bull period. Within 1 day(s), the market would flip to chop.
The selling streak extended to 13 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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