BTC Flow Analysis — June 30, 2023 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,559,366 trades
Summary
On Friday, June 30, 2023, Bitcoin finished near unchanged (+0.08%) to $30,472. Net flow: -779 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 16 bars of outsized trades (5.4σ peak) from 00:39–15:57 UTC, adding 49 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
This was day 9 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.86). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Europe and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 63% of the net flow (1,907 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+455 BTC), sellers dominated late (-1,234 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +1.04%, Europe -2.05%, US +1.12% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.04% | 1045 BTC | 34% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -2.05% | -1907 BTC | 63% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.12% | 82 BTC | 3% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bull — and this day didn't deviate. A +0.08% return against a regime average of +0.34%.
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