BTC Flow Analysis — April 16, 2023 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 708,233 trades
Summary
April 16, 2023: Bitcoin traded flat. The 105 BTC of net selling flow at $30,305 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 41 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.7σ), spread across 00:20–20:38 UTC. The 28 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 401 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 297 BTC in the afternoon.
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia +0.16%, Europe -0.31%, US +0.18% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.16% | -122 BTC | 15% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.31% | -331 BTC | 41% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.18% | 348 BTC | 43% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 0 day(s) away.
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