BTC Flow Analysis — March 30, 2023 BULL
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,843,652 trades
Summary
Bitcoin gave back 1.13% on Thursday, March 30, 2023, closing at $28,029 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 665 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 32 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.0σ) between 00:22–23:24 UTC. Whale flow netted 152 BTC of buying.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+889 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-1,554 BTC) in the back half.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.94). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +1.33%, Europe -0.72%, US -1.72%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.33% | 1389 BTC | 40% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.72% | -1020 BTC | 30% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.72% | -1034 BTC | 30% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -1.13% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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