BTC Flow Analysis — March 27, 2023 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,575,264 trades
Summary
On Monday, March 27, 2023, Bitcoin fell 3.0% to $27,125. Net flow: -1,736 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 17 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.2σ), spread across 00:13–17:29 UTC. The 214 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.98 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 69% of the net flow (1,204 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia -0.57%, Europe -0.42%, US -2.05% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.57% | -139 BTC | 8% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.42% | -392 BTC | 23% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.05% | -1204 BTC | 69% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -3.01% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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