BTC Flow Analysis — December 13, 2022 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,242,080 trades
Summary
Bitcoin climbed +3.3% on Tuesday, December 13, 2022, closing at $17,775 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 3,383 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 12 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.0σ), spread across 00:25–23:28 UTC. The 774 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.94 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.25%, Europe +4.27%, US -0.70%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.25% | 1087 BTC | 32% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 4.27% | 1572 BTC | 46% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.70% | 725 BTC | 21% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The 3,383 BTC of net buying was extreme by any measure (+2.2σ vs chop-regime average). The market's typical flow balance broke down.
Unusually heavy volume at 284,463 BTC — +2.6σ above the chop-regime baseline. The market was paying attention.
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