BTC Flow Analysis — December 03, 2022 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,308,694 trades
Summary
December 03, 2022: Bitcoin gave back 1.21%. The 2,113 BTC of net selling flow at $16,885 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 26 bars of outsized trades (9.8σ peak) from 00:40–22:31 UTC, adding 353 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.87). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.75%, Europe -0.07%, US -0.40%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.75% | -916 BTC | 41% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.07% | 71 BTC | 3% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.40% | -1268 BTC | 56% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -1.21% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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