BTC Flow Analysis — November 19, 2022 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,142,123 trades
Summary
Bitcoin went nowhere on Saturday, November 19, 2022, closing at $16,701 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 168 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 22 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.2σ), spread across 00:43–23:59 UTC. The 42 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-184 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+15 BTC) in the back half.
This was day 8 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.83 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.60%, Europe +0.30%, US +0.31%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.60% | -794 BTC | 56% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.30% | 493 BTC | 35% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.31% | 132 BTC | 9% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +0.01% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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