Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,052,219 trades
October 15, 2022: Bitcoin drifted lower (-0.56%). The 1,630 BTC of net selling flow at $19,069 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Whale activity concentrated around 04:06 UTC: 9 bars with average trade sizes 6.8σ above baseline. The 745 BTC of net selling added conviction to the selling move.
Net selling for 6 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.93). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.04%, Europe -0.01%, US -0.51%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.04% | -283 BTC | 17% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.01% | -515 BTC | 32% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.51% | -832 BTC | 51% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -0.56% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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