BTC Flow Analysis — October 10, 2022 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,432,688 trades
Summary
Bitcoin gave back 1.58% on Monday, October 10, 2022, closing at $19,132 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,810 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 16 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.0σ), spread across 00:24–22:07 UTC. The 986 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.94). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.14%, Europe -0.50%, US -0.95%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.14% | -427 BTC | 15% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.50% | -957 BTC | 34% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.95% | -1426 BTC | 51% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 1 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Related Days
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