BTC Flow Analysis — October 05, 2022 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,540,004 trades
Summary
October 05, 2022: Bitcoin slipped 0.88%. The 1,741 BTC of net selling flow at $20,158 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 17 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.4σ) between 06:04–22:40 UTC. Whale flow netted 125 BTC of buying.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.88 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 3,160 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 1,419 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.55%, Europe -1.52%, US +1.19%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.55% | -1554 BTC | 26% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.52% | -2358 BTC | 39% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.19% | 2171 BTC | 36% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Volume ran hot: 312,240 BTC traded, +2.9σ above the chop-regime average. High volume days tend to carry more signal.
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