BTC Flow Analysis — October 04, 2022 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,871,932 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $20,338 on October 04, 2022 after climbed 3.6%. Aggressor-side flow netted +4,281 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 18 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.2σ) between 01:12–23:48 UTC. Whale flow netted 277 BTC of selling.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.96 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +1.73%, Europe +0.66%, US +1.19%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.73% | 1837 BTC | 43% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.66% | 622 BTC | 15% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.19% | 1822 BTC | 43% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Flow conviction was unusually strong: 4,281 BTC net buying, registering at +2.8σ relative to other chop-regime days. This wasn't noise — it was a directional statement.
Unusually heavy volume at 327,012 BTC — +3.0σ above the chop-regime baseline. The market was paying attention.
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