BTC Flow Analysis — September 29, 2022 CHOP
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,631,615 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $19,592 on September 29, 2022 after edged higher (0.92%). Aggressor-side flow netted -50 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 12 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.1σ), spread across 01:56–23:52 UTC. The 231 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
The day split in half. Buyers controlled the first 12 hours (+1,744 BTC), then sellers took over (-1,794 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.27%, Europe -1.90%, US +3.15%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.27% | 1725 BTC | 40% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.90% | -2203 BTC | 51% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 3.15% | 428 BTC | 10% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Unusually heavy volume at 406,425 BTC — +4.0σ above the chop-regime baseline. The market was paying attention.
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