BTC Flow Analysis — August 21, 2022 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,034,461 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $21,516 on August 21, 2022 after ground out a 1.78% gain. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,278 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 24 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.3σ), spread across 00:21–22:05 UTC. The 266 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.90 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Europe session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.53%, Europe +0.69%, US +0.55%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.53% | 618 BTC | 48% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.69% | 323 BTC | 25% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.55% | 336 BTC | 26% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 0 day(s) away.
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