BTC Flow Analysis — June 26, 2022 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 885,306 trades
Summary
June 26, 2022: Bitcoin lost 2.1%. The 1,176 BTC of net selling flow at $21,038 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.6σ), spread across 02:25–21:56 UTC. The 138 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 92% of the day's net flow (1,080 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.86). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 354 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 1,530 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.44%, Europe +0.06%, US -1.73%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.44% | -77 BTC | 7% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.06% | -19 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.73% | -1080 BTC | 92% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -2.11% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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