BTC Flow Analysis — May 13, 2022 BEAR
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,051,900 trades
Summary
Bitcoin ticked up +0.89% on Friday, May 13, 2022, closing at $29,287 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 217 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 17 bars of outsized trades (7.1σ peak) from 00:18–23:51 UTC, adding 274 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+1,589 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-1,806 BTC) in the back half.
Day 7 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
A volatile day: 8.0% range from $28,752 to $31,083. Wide ranges like this create opportunities but also traps for directional traders.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.86). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +3.93%, Europe +1.92%, US -4.76%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 3.93% | 1776 BTC | 44% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.92% | 113 BTC | 3% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -4.76% | -2106 BTC | 53% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +0.89% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
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