BTC Flow Analysis — May 07, 2022 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 746,488 trades
Summary
On Saturday, May 07, 2022, Bitcoin drifted lower (-1.50%) to $35,472. Net flow: -3,511 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 21 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 13.4σ), spread across 00:10–23:52 UTC. The 1,020 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.86). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 81% of the net flow (2,855 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia -0.26%, Europe -0.06%, US -1.19% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.26% | -389 BTC | 11% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.06% | -267 BTC | 8% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.19% | -2855 BTC | 81% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -1.50% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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