BTC Flow Analysis — April 30, 2022 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,017,369 trades
Summary
April 30, 2022: Bitcoin fell 2.5%. The 2,274 BTC of net selling flow at $37,631 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.3σ), spread across 00:27–23:02 UTC. The 369 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 80% of the day's net flow (2,148 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.91 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.14%, Europe -0.37%, US -2.27%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.14% | 202 BTC | 8% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.37% | -328 BTC | 12% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.27% | -2148 BTC | 80% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -2.50% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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