BTC Flow Analysis — March 19, 2022 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 801,197 trades
Summary
Bitcoin edged higher (+1.06%) on Saturday, March 19, 2022, closing at $42,201 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 141 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
29 bars of outsized trades (peak 7.9σ) appeared between 00:33–23:48 UTC, with whale flow netting 196 BTC of buying.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-316 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+175 BTC) in the back half.
Net selling for 3 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.35%, Europe +0.29%, US +1.13%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.35% | -187 BTC | 35% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.29% | -149 BTC | 28% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.13% | 195 BTC | 37% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the chop regime was ending. BULL conditions were 2 day(s) away.
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