BTC Flow Analysis — March 13, 2022 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 841,844 trades
Summary
On Sunday, March 13, 2022, Bitcoin lost 2.7% to $37,777. Net flow: -2,491 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 34 bars of outsized trades (9.2σ peak) from 06:04–23:08 UTC, adding 563 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Net selling for 4 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.84). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Across sessions: Asia +0.73%, Europe -0.87%, US -2.51% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.73% | 48 BTC | 2% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.87% | -1181 BTC | 46% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.51% | -1359 BTC | 53% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 0 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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