BTC Flow Analysis — January 14, 2022 BEAR
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 946,938 trades
Summary
Bitcoin edged higher (+1.18%) on Friday, January 14, 2022, closing at $43,060 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,773 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Flow said sell, price said buy. The -0.31 correlation between cumulative flow and return tells the story: someone was absorbing the selling quietly while price rose +1.18%.
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 20 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.6σ), spread across 00:21–21:19 UTC. The 602 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Europe traders set the tone. 75% of directional flow — 1,325 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +0.24%, Europe -1.16%, US +2.12%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.24% | -209 BTC | 12% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.16% | -1325 BTC | 75% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.12% | -238 BTC | 13% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 2 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
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