Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 752,733 trades
January 09, 2022: Bitcoin ground out a +0.44% gain. The 75 BTC of net buying flow at $41,865 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 19 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.8σ), spread across 01:36–23:37 UTC. The 207 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 2 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 78 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.27%, Europe -0.77%, US +0.95%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.27% | 33 BTC | 5% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.77% | -279 BTC | 44% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.95% | 321 BTC | 51% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
The bear regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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