BTC Flow Analysis — November 12, 2021 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,479,149 trades
Summary
November 12, 2021: Bitcoin slipped 1.01%. The 2,433 BTC of net selling flow at $64,122 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.2σ), spread across 00:13–22:05 UTC. The 393 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 4 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.44%, Europe -0.78%, US +0.22%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.44% | -561 BTC | 23% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.78% | -565 BTC | 23% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.22% | -1307 BTC | 54% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 1 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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