BTC Flow Analysis — October 31, 2021 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,563,417 trades
Summary
On Sunday, October 31, 2021, Bitcoin slipped 0.90% to $61,300. Net flow: -543 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 19 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.8σ) between 00:57–23:20 UTC. Whale flow netted 350 BTC of buying.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.87 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-1,164 BTC), buyers dominated late (+620 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -0.80%, Europe -1.63%, US +1.55% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.80% | -745 BTC | 28% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.63% | -864 BTC | 32% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.55% | 1065 BTC | 40% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -0.90% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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