BTC Flow Analysis — September 30, 2021 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,197,815 trades
Summary
On Thursday, September 30, 2021, Bitcoin exploded +5.5% higher to $43,824. Net flow: +317 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 19 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.9σ), spread across 01:59–17:35 UTC. The 301 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Europe and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 73% of the net flow (406 BTC buying).
Across sessions: Asia +4.24%, Europe -0.47%, US +1.72% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 4.24% | 30 BTC | 5% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.47% | 406 BTC | 73% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.72% | -119 BTC | 21% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Related Days
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