BTC Flow Analysis — September 29, 2021 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 884,909 trades
Summary
Bitcoin ground out a +1.22% gain on Wednesday, September 29, 2021, closing at $41,524 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 835 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 14 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.4σ), spread across 01:15–22:36 UTC. The 88 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 73% of directional flow — 705 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +3.47%, Europe -0.70%, US -1.47%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 3.47% | 66 BTC | 7% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.70% | -196 BTC | 20% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.47% | -705 BTC | 73% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The selling streak extended to 6 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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