BTC Flow Analysis — September 26, 2021 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,374,145 trades
Summary
Bitcoin edged higher (+1.15%) on Sunday, September 26, 2021, closing at $43,161 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 355 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 14 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.6σ), spread across 00:55–20:40 UTC. The 1 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-612 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+257 BTC) in the back half.
Day 3 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -3.37%, Europe +4.83%, US -0.13%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -3.37% | -1261 BTC | 58% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 4.83% | 671 BTC | 31% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.13% | 235 BTC | 11% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A +1.15% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
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