BTC Flow Analysis — August 16, 2021 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,655,378 trades
Summary
Bitcoin lost 2.3% on Monday, August 16, 2021, closing at $45,901 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 785 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 26 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.0σ), spread across 00:31–21:16 UTC. The 279 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+402 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-1,186 BTC) in the back half.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.89). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +0.72%, Europe -1.84%, US -1.16%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.72% | 440 BTC | 26% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.84% | -233 BTC | 14% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.16% | -993 BTC | 60% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -2.28% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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