BTC Flow Analysis — August 01, 2021 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,603,964 trades
Summary
Bitcoin sold off -3.9% on Sunday, August 01, 2021, closing at $39,845 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,360 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 26 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.3σ), spread across 00:37–23:22 UTC. The 284 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+291 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-2,651 BTC) in the back half.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.86). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 90% of directional flow — 2,638 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +0.58%, Europe -0.70%, US -3.78%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.58% | 292 BTC | 10% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.70% | -14 BTC | 0% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.78% | -2638 BTC | 90% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bull — and this day didn't deviate. A -3.90% return against a regime average of +0.34%.
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