BTC Flow Analysis — July 01, 2021 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,240,681 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $33,505 on July 01, 2021 after fell 4.4%. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,736 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 22 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.2σ) between 00:24–23:05 UTC. Whale flow netted 655 BTC of buying.
The day split in half. Sellers controlled the first 12 hours (-1,871 BTC), then buyers took over (+135 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.92 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Asia session drove 77% of the day's directional flow, with 1,731 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -4.84%, Europe +0.15%, US +0.32%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -4.84% | -1731 BTC | 77% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.15% | -257 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.32% | 251 BTC | 11% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bear regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
The selling streak extended to 4 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
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