BTC Flow Analysis — June 15, 2021 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,931,890 trades
Summary
Bitcoin gave back 0.92% on Tuesday, June 15, 2021, closing at $40,144 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,822 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 14 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.2σ), spread across 00:36–20:40 UTC. The 742 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-1,882 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+60 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Asia traders set the tone. 71% of directional flow — 1,296 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia -0.37%, Europe -0.22%, US -0.34%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.37% | -1296 BTC | 71% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.22% | -353 BTC | 19% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.34% | -173 BTC | 9% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bear regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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