Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,185,089 trades
Bitcoin rallied +3.8% on Monday, June 14, 2021, closing at $40,516 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,231 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow said sell, price said buy. The -0.42 correlation between cumulative flow and return tells the story: someone was absorbing the selling quietly while price rose +3.83%.
The big players were active all day. 13 bars of outsized trades (7.6σ peak) from 00:18–23:55 UTC, adding 375 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session returns: Asia +1.37%, Europe +2.49%, US -0.05%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.37% | 1294 BTC | 34% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 2.49% | -540 BTC | 14% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.05% | -1985 BTC | 52% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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