BTC Flow Analysis — May 03, 2021 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,102,128 trades
Summary
On Monday, May 03, 2021, Bitcoin edged higher (+1.04%) to $57,169. Net flow: -578 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 25 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.6σ), spread across 00:19–23:04 UTC. The 43 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.84). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 61% of the net flow (896 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+415 BTC), sellers dominated late (-993 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +3.91%, Europe -1.86%, US -0.91% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 3.91% | 450 BTC | 30% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.86% | -131 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.91% | -896 BTC | 61% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A +1.04% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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