BTC Flow Analysis — April 15, 2021 BULL
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,938,028 trades
Summary
On Thursday, April 15, 2021, Bitcoin ticked up +0.32% to $63,160. Net flow: -393 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 13 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.7σ) between 00:25–23:44 UTC. Whale flow netted 338 BTC of buying.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-467 BTC), buyers dominated late (+74 BTC).
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia -0.19%, Europe +0.12%, US +0.38%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.19% | -336 BTC | 48% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.12% | -209 BTC | 30% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.38% | 153 BTC | 22% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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