BTC Flow Analysis — April 14, 2021 BULL
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,645,625 trades
Summary
Bitcoin slipped 0.97% on Wednesday, April 14, 2021, closing at $62,960 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,476 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
27 bars of outsized trades (peak 9.1σ) appeared between 00:10–23:07 UTC, with whale flow netting 1 BTC of buying.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+142 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-2,618 BTC) in the back half.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.85 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 61% of directional flow — 2,305 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +1.12%, Europe -0.80%, US -1.28%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.12% | 646 BTC | 17% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.80% | -817 BTC | 22% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.28% | -2305 BTC | 61% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 3 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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